Clearing Up

Day 3 post-Thanksgiving and we are finally coming to grips with the clean-up.  

At our house we have reached that nexus where decreasing feast-induced lethargy meets the tail-end of tolerance for post-feast detritus.   The result is a burst of cleaning energy that won't again be seen until, say, January 4, 2009.

We hope that your Thanksgiving was a pleasant one, and that it was spent with family and friends, or at least a comfy chair and a good book.

We also hope  you sensibly stayed inside on 'Black Friday', and didn't partake in the fevered capitalism that increasingly defines us.  But if you did, we hope you scored a comfy chair and a nice book or two ...

Happy Thanksgiving!

Today most of us will be with our family and friends, enjoying good food and conversation, and reflecting on the things that make life worth living.

So ignore the news today - it's all bad, I can tell you, and instead read (if you have the time) something comparatively light and amusing, like War and Peace.

And in the tranquility of this time, hours before the massive kitchen cleanup must start and excess calories worked (or slept) off, we can simply be content with our being. 

Remember, tomorrow will take care of itself, so focus on today.   Release your burdens and enjoy! 

And if you happen to live anywhere near a farm, don't look at the turkeys - it's a buzz kill.

Morning Babble 2

A few thoughts on the Day Before Thanksgiving...

Pardoning the Turkeys - Lame Duck President Bush has continued a 61 year tradition and pardoned his fellow-foul 'Pecan' and 'Pumpkin'.  The two turkeys were given a presidential pardon by Bush in a practice dating back to the Truman administration.  Bush quipped that one of the turkeys was present for the honor and the other in an 'undisclosed' location.  He may be engaging in the odd, strained josh now, but odds are he will be pardoning at least one other secure undisclosed turkey before he leaves office.

Tainted - One of the sad effects of George Bush's administration is the wholesale tainting of virtually all who served in it, at least at visible levels.  It may be hard for the most liberal of us to comprehend, but there were many very capable, honest, and dedicated people who served at the soon-to-be-former President's pleasure.  So it is logical that our new President may want to tap some of this expertise for his new administration.  The 'taint' can make this awkward if not impossible.  Unfortunately, he has already lost a possible head of the CIA due to this taint, when John Brennan, who served under George Tennant in the Bush Administration, took his name off the table after some 'liberal bloggers' started a 'campaign' against him. We should all bite our collective tongues and let Obama make the best choices he can make.

A New Hope -  Lightly observed by the news, and barely discussed, dropping diesel fuel prices present a major booster shot for the economy.  One of the biggest strains on budgets from the start of 2007 through late summer 2008 was rapidly rising diesel prices, which peaked at over $5 per gallon.  The rise increased the cost for almost all goods sold and food produced around the world.  All manufactured goods are shipped or trucked at some stage and that takes diesel fuel.  Crops are sowed and harvested using equipment that runs on diesel.  Now that diesel has dropped below $2.50 per gallon in most places in the US, a great inflationary pressure has been removed.  It may take a while before we reap the benefits, as many companies may keep transport costs high as long as they can to recoup losses, but reap we will, eventually.   This will be a great aid to the Fed who with this help can better afford to keep interest rates low to boost the economy without fear of inflation.

Who Knew?

Who new the government had so much money to throw around? 

It has always seemed there wasn't much in the coffers when we asked for, say, health insurance for everyone, or relief to victims of disasters like those made homeless by Hurricane Katrina.

Or for AIDS relief in Africa, for which President Bush pledged, what, $10 billion?  The most devastating plague of modern times, mind you, and we give a relative pittance.

And our country's automakers, representing the very core of American prosperity over the past century, schlep out to DC crammed into their teensy private jets, and get what?  NaDa!

Meanwhile, back at the ranch ...

This morning Secretary Paulson announced another $800 billion of bailout relief for affected financial institutions. Presumably so they will start giving out loans to the public again.  I guess the initial $700 billion wasn't enough.

Where are we suddenly finding that kind of money?

We are either printing it or borrowing it, or both most likely.  It's a case of find the money to fix (we hope) the immediate problem now, and worry about the consequences later.  And , Oh Boy, there will be consequences!

For the amount of taxpayer (or borrowed Chinese?) money the government is throwing around, wouldn't it be cheaper to just give every US citizen a million bucks in savings bonds and be done with it?

I promise to give some of my million to AIDS relief and The Red Cross. I'll even buy something from Ford, Chrysler, or GM ...

Morning Babble

Monday mornings are soo interesting...

More bailouts - You have to wonder who makes the decisions on the economy in the Bush administration, don't you?  The news upon awakening this morning is that Citigroup is getting assistance from the gov to the tune of at least $20 billion.  Shares of that 'bank' shot up 60% as a result.  Check back a few weeks and contrast this situation with that of Washington Mutual, another 'bank' that needed some assistance.  Did it get it?  Not in a good way.  The gov seized it and sold off its banking assets to Morgan Chase.  Washington Mutual's stock fell off the board and all of its thousands of investors, big and small, lost every penny. Why the difference?  Probably it was my fault.  You see, I owned stock in WAMU, but none (that I know of) in Citigroup.  

Obama's economic team - More evidence, if any is needed, that George Bush is asleep at the wheel, or isn't allowed near the wheel anymore, was the importance given President-elect Obama introducing his economic team this morning.  All people with impressive resumes, and actual government experience gained during the Clinton economic glory years.  I'm not sure if that can be so easily translated into success, given the mess the Bush gov has gotten us into to, thank-you-very-much, but we can always hope what worked before will work again, and maybe these folks have a few new ideas up their collective sleeves as well.

Better late than never - We all know that change comes slowly to the Roman Catholic Church, steeped as it is in its traditions.  But sometimes this gets all a bit too ridiculous.  News came today that the 'official vatican newspaper' has published a statement that appears to forgive John Lennon for his infamous comment that the Beatles were bigger than Jesus.  Well, if L'Osservatore Romano says so, it must be true.  After forty-two years, all is forgiven.  I wonder what the Pope has in his record collection?

Big Bang in a Box

Recently, the Science Channel re-ran a 2004 program called 'Parallel Universe', a BBC production about string theory, membrane theory, the 11th dimension, parallel universes, and, of course, the Big Bang.  

I felt compelled to watch it.

It was mesmerizing, if way beyond my poor capacity to comprehend, and soon I was in a tonic state of some sort, staring at the TV screen and drooling slightly.

And, then, almost as an afterthought following the last commercial of the hour, came a revelation that sparked my every dormant dendrite:   One of the physicists featured on the program said he thought it was possible to create a new universe in the lab.

The producers of the show had the camera sweep across this scientist's office, showing piles of papers in disarray on the desk, shelves, and the floor, as if in comment on the state of his mind.  But there was no commentary or opposing opinions to contradict him.

This physicist further stated that he thought it very likely he could do it, and it would be safe too.  Once created, the growing universe would splice itself off into it's own space, and it would not displace our own universe. We'd be OK. 

At this point the producers had my full attention, and then the show ended!  What?  Leave us hanging with the news that a disorganized geek says he can create a new universe, with stars and galaxies and maybe life and everything, and then just stop the show?

Then it hit me.  This was 2004, four years ago.  Maybe this guy has already done it.  Maybe more than once.  

Then I thought, if he can do it, what does that say about the origin of our own universe?  I sure hope God had a neater office than this guy.

And then I had one last thought before my naturally short attention span moved me on to another subject:  This would make one cool gift!

Think about it.  Up to now you've been able to give someone the gift of naming a star after them.  Big Deal!

Now you can give them their very own universe, their personal ...

Big Bang in a Box 

Emergency Weight Loss For The Holidays

The Holidays. It's a season of gifting and receiving; a special time to spend with loved ones old and new.

It is also a season of eating. 

Constant, relentless eating.  

The adopted image of the season to many of us is a jolly fat man in a red suit, but whatever our background we all understand that this is the time to ... EAT.

And we do it with no guilt, in the spirit of the season.

No guilt, that is, until after the New Year when the gifted clothes don't fit, and we glumly consider a never-ending series of fat-burning gym visits. 

... Or a summer spent wearing oversize Hawaiian shirts.

Well, this year you can avoid the guilt, the gym visits, and more importantly those shirts, by adopting Wayne's Emergency Weight Loss Regimen.

And here it is, in simple, easy to follow steps:

Join (or form) a religion with strict dietary restrictions

Like a religion than bans the eating of foul (i.e., chicken, turkey, parrots). If you or a member of your household are also Hindu and Jewish, you will have drastically reduced the calories available to you from meat. A good mutton is hard to come by, so that leaves just fish, which we all know is healthier for you. Doesn't mercury actually burn calories ?  [If you are Vegan you are ahead in this game, but wow are you weird!]

Take up a sport for the Holidays

Like rowing. Nothing burns calories like rowing. Nothing. Not even starvation. If you survive, you WILL be thinner.

Get involved in the new administration

Join President-Elect Obama's transition team (It's probably not too late). You will have so much work to do between now and January 20th, there will be no time to eat. Quick meals will be on order: for Thanksgiving you might expect to enjoy a slurry of intravenous turkey with a cold compress of mashed potatoes, followed by a cranberry ice cream enema. (Must stay mobile!)

and, last but not least, if the first three items aren't practical for you, try:

Wayne's modified golden rule of eating

Eat like your mother said you should, using a variation on the old saw, 'breakfast is golden, lunch is silver, and dinner is bronze'.

Updating this ancient bit of wisdom we get, 'breakfast is Mean, lunch is Lean, and dinner is Green'.

Which simply means: have whatever fats you can shove in your mouth for breakfast, eat nothing but low or no-fat foods for lunch, and nothing but vegetables, fruits, and salads (nonfat dressing) for dinner.

This may prove challenging, and some would prefer to starve, or join a rowing team. But if you fit in neither category, are not the religion-forming type, and can't see yourself as a key Obama councilor, then give this regimen a try.

If you do, you'll certainly be a killjoy at holiday dinners, but you'll be a thinner killjoy come Spring!

Three Amigos Revisited

The 'big' three automakers were in front of congressional committees today, asking for 25 billion in what were being described as 'bridge' loans.   

Just a little to tide them over, I guess.

At the heart of the discussions was whether the automaker's truest path back to financial well-being, if such a thing is even possible, would be through a loan, or through bankruptcy reorganization.

Financial experts spoke in favor of bankruptcy protection, while the heads of the Amigos spoke adamantly against that option and in favor of a loan.  This despite the fact that many believed the Amigos had more to gain through Chapter 7.

It all boils down to perspective: would YOU buy a car from a company that was in bankruptcy?  Sure, most of us know that corporate bankruptcy is more a safe haven from creditors than a financial death row, but still ...  who would honor the warranty and fix your car if the company DID die?

Our legislators and executives have a difficult decision ahead.  The path they choose will affect tens of thousands of workers, partner companies, investors, and ultimately millions of consumers.

Let's hope they come up with something good.

About Slash

Slash is this blog's mascot.  You can see his handsome mug right on this page.

He is, of course, a Great White Shark, and this picture of him was taken by me while trembling in a cage off Guadalupe Isand (Mexico) in the fall of 2005.

Slash was pretty banged up, with scars all over and a few teeth missing.  The latter is unusual for sharks since teeth are constantly being replaced.  In Slash's case, however, his 'gums' had been damaged, probably by a steel leader on a fishing line, and the teeth hadn't been replaced (yet).

I wouldn't worry about him too much.  He's a big fellow, with a best estimate of his size being just over 16 feet.  And he was very fat, which meant he was eating well.

If Slash manages to break all the fishing lines he gets hooked on (while eating the tuna and other fish that were on the hook to start with), and avoids trophy hunters and finning operations, and stays out of trouble with bigger sharks, he might just live to be a really big boy, say 19-20 ft. 

As sharks go, Slash didn't come off as terribly aggressive.  He just seemed interested in everything, particularly the half -tuna (bluefin) that was the lure to bring the sharks in.

The bait 'wranglers' were told to pull it away from approaching sharks, but Slash outsmarted them.  After a couple of passes where the bait was pulled away before he could bite, Slash changed tactics and approached the bait from under the boat, where he was hidden until the last moment from the wranglers up top.  He won his prize.  And every one of us on the trip learned that sharks are not mindless.

By virtue of his persistence and willingness to adapt, and by his focus on things that mattered (the bait) and not on things that didn't (the divers in the cage), Slash proved inspirational.  

And that's why you see him smiling at the top of this blog.

HIV Cure? (Uh, no ... not yet)

It was in the news last week that a doctor in Germany had apparently 'cured' a patient of HIV.   Reports of the event cautioned that, although the patient had shown no signs of the virus for 20 months, it didn't mean a certain cure.  Only time would tell.

But what of this?  Is this what HIV/AIDS sufferers have been waiting for?

Not directly at least.  The patient in this case was given a 'targeted' bone marrow transplant, a procedure which is risky, and expensive.  Not many HMOs or medical plans would pay for such a treatment.  And it is way too complex and expensive to be of any help for the millions of HIV/AIDS victims in Africa.

The technique used does shed some helpful light on the nature of resistance to HIV infection.  The patient's own marrow was destroyed, then stem cells were injected from a donor genetically resistant to HIV infection.  The new marrow cells took hold and produced blood cells that restored the patient's immune system - only this time the immune system was 'supercharged' to handle HIV.  

The pumped-up immune system was achieved by the donor's natural resistance to HIV.  The apparent success of the treatment supports the hypothesis that such resistance to HIV happens due to defensive blood cells that are genetically better at fighting HIV.

This knowledge may lead to better treatments, possibly even a cure that might work for everyone.  But we are not there yet.

For now, this particular 'cure' will be reserved for special trials, or for people who can afford the cost and are willing to take the risk of bone marrow transplant.

Smoke On The Water

(photo courtesy of Saul Traiger)

I ferried over to Avalon on Santa Catalina Island today to enjoy some SCUBA diving at the Casino Point Dive Park.

Normally, the Island is a refuge from any smog or 'haze' from the mainland, but today was another situation. Vast walls of smoke shading from beige to brown to near black reached out towards the island like the tentacles of an octopus. The ferry out seemed to be traveling in its own bubble of clearer air through a sea of smoke.

In Avalon the winds were slight, but coming from the direction of the mainland, and brought with them a haze of smoke that hung over the beautiful harbor and collected against the surrounding hills.

The island city had its own brush with catastrophic fire in 2007, with encircling walls of flame at one point threatening the residents. The devastation was distant today, communicated by the smoke from the mainland fires, a reminder of bad things possible even in paradise.

Underwater it was peaceful and serene, with good visibility...

Wild Fires

Southern California can seem an idyllic place to live.   It's warm but pleasantly dry, the sun shines 320 days a year, and there are a lot of celebrities to gawk at.

But there are downsides, and one of the big ones is the constant risk of wild fires erupting and taking away lives and homes.  

This can happen anytime of the year except the wettest part of the wet season (late December through, say, March), when the few paltry inches of rain that fall somehow manage to keep potential tinder too soggy to burn.

The cruelest time for fires is right now, the late fall heading into winter.  There may have already been a little rain by then (there was a bit this year), and the temperatures can drop at night to the point sweaters are donned and furnaces stoked.  Fires, at least unintentional ones outside the home, are far from mind.

But the fickle winds that often bring cooling breezes from the ocean can shift to bring dry winds through the mountains from the vast California desert. And these winds do not need to be hot to do their damage, just dry.  And they are very dry.

In the past two days such winds from the inland have helped spread small fires into firestorms that have caused havoc in two places:  Montecito, a very upscale community home to many celebrities and located near Santa Barbara on the coast, and Sylmar, an inland town in the northeastern San Fernando Valley, near the I-5 freeway north of Los Angeles.

Montecito saw homes lost and at least one reported death.  In Sylmar, the winds coming from the desert reached gusts of 76 miles per hour.  In the face of near-hurricane forces such as that, fire fighters were overwhelmed, and many, many homes were lost.   

There may be more before the wet season finally comes, taking the threat of fire away until next year. 

So, please, those of you who live in parts of this country, and the world, where right now it is cold, rainy, possibly snowing.  When you look out your windows and see weather similar to that which stymied Scott in the Antarctic, think of us living here in sunny California and wish some of that stuff our way...

Bush and Smart Government

In New York for an economic summit, President George Bush spoke to the press on Thursday in defense of 'US-style free enterprise'.

According to an article by Ben Feller of the Associated Press, Bush went on to state that government intervention is not a cure-all.  'Our aim should not be more government.  It should be smarter government.'

I like that.  As his presidency passes into history as perhaps the most inept (at best) administration of all, George Bush admits we need smarter government.  

Smarter than his, presumably, which shows a mature self-realization I wouldn't have credited him with, if I hadn't seen it with my own eyes, right there on the web.

This Just In - Credit Card Companies in Big Trouble

This bit of news was prominent on Yahoo this morning:

'Regulators Nix Credit Card Debt Forgiveness Plan'

It seems that many credit card holders, even those with 'strong credit records' are becoming unable to repay their balances, and can't qualify for any repayment options. (Big Surprise!)

The card companies wanted federal approval for a program to forgive up to 40% of the debt.

At first, this sounded like a good plan to me, but there was a catch:  The companies wanted to be able to defer official recognition of any losses to them for several years, making their current books look healthier and saving the bad news for later years, when, presumably, the bottom line would be flush again and could take the hit.

The gov said a firm 'No' to that.  Probably a wise idea.  Better to take your lumps all at once and get it over with.

Besides, the article noted that only about 50,000 credit card holders would likely be involved in the program, which seems like it was targeted at higher income customers with very large limits and therefore huge balances.  

The assistance was to come in the form of forgiven debt, which the borrower would not have to declare as income on their taxes for several years.  When they finally did declare it, the credit companies would then declare the loss.  Really does sound like a sweetheart deal between the credit companies and their richest customers.  

No plan that helps so few when many, many, more are in trouble should ever be approved.

Glad it got canned, then...

How to Jump Start The Economy For The Holidays

Although I am definitely not an expert (or even a talented amateur) economist, it's painfully clear that neither are those who are labeled experts and run (ruin) our economy.

First they say they will buy bad mortgage loans, then they take it back. (Wait! Wait! I have an even better idea...)

OK.  If those idiots are experts, then so am I.  Here are my suggestions on how to put more money in the hands of the consumers, where it will do the most good:

Restore the tax deduction for interest on personal loans - You might not remember, but until the Reagan Administration, any interest you incurred on credit card or other personal loan debt was deductible from your federal income taxes.   Loading up your credit card buying gifts doesn't look so bad if the usurious 24% interest rate the banks charge (the same banks we are bailing out, mind you) is paid for by the taxpayers.  Hey, the same principle applied to mortgage interest helped make buying a home instead of renting the thing to do.

Cap credit card interest at a reasonable maximum - Look, I am all in favor of letting companies make a profit, but banks are charging their credit card customers up to 24% (or more) in interest on their balances.  That's significantly higher than the highest rate those same banks will give you for keeping your money with them.  You'd be lucky if you found a typical savings account that earns more than 3%.   That's quite a gap.  So, to help consumers feel good about racking up debt buying gifts this holiday season, pass a bill to cap consumer credit interest at 15%.  That's still a healthy margin for the banks, but more manageable for the rest of us.

Temporarily reduce sales tax - You want people to buy more?  Make it cost less!  Now, I know that many state and local coffers are nearly empty from the economic meltdown, and lowering a tax that fills those coffers may seem wildly insane, but think it over.  You have two choices: (1) keep the rates the same (or raise them) and nobody spends a thing and no tax revenue is generated, or (2) lower the rates and get people to buy lots and generate more tax revenue from the greater volume of sales.  Hey, as an American consumer I want to buy things. So help me out here!

Give extra time to pay - I don't mean 'Buy now and pay nothing until 2010!'  That's crazy talk, and somewhat misleading (read the fine print). No, what I am talking about is a simple extra month to pay your credit card bill, your mortgage, your utilities, your car payment, etc, etc.  Companies have done this during tough times in the past, and it still works a treat to give more people more money to spend during the Holidays.

Discount, Discount, Discount - This one may seem obvious, but it always surprises me how weak the discounts are and how late in the game they are offered.  If you run a company and you want your sales to be good these Holidays, then be aggressive with your price cutting.  Make it real. Discount till it hurts.  Discount your assets off!  And start it early, like tomorrow even. 

And finally here's some advice for us, the consumers:

Think Big -  We already know that companies are quaking in their corporate boots and praying for decent sales this season.  They will probably be giving discounts on many items, from things that are cheap anyway to things ordinarily very expensive.  So, if you can, think big!  Don't be afraid to buy the 'big' gifts you always wanted to give your loved ones and pocket the big savings that will go with them.  And why stop at gifts?  Take advantage of the desperation and buy those big ticket items you've wanted to buy for yourself.  Just don't get too carried away! You will (eventually) have to pay for it, and even 30% off a Jaguar may still be too much for your budget.

Who's Buying What For the Holidays

Economists are predicting a real Scrooge-fest this holiday season, with consumers parting reluctantly with their hard-earned and carefully-rationed cash.

I don't think so... after all, this is the ONE time per year that we absolutely must give our loved ones, friends, and coworkers some sort of material recognition that they mean something to us. Just a card won't really cover the obligation...

I do, however, think the types of gifts we give will shift a bit from the usual:

The rise of the 'practical' gift - This year we will strive to make a present out of any and every practical thing we would have given as a matter of course at any other time of the year.  Popular gifts will be cell phones, netbook computers, microwaves, vacuums, cookware, yoga lessons, and nasal hair trimmers.

The home-made gift - Always available on stand-by for the cash strapped giver, this year home-made gifts will rise in frequency, if not popularity.  Items made from clay and whimsically painted, like coffee mugs, are usually well-received. Items made from wood or metal are far less popular, and may be lethal.

The 'gift basket' - With easy access on the internet to these services, many people will opt to choose a pre-packaged 'gift basket' to send to their fortunate recipients.  These baskets usually consist of edible items like nuts, salami, and cheese, but there are really no limits.  Be inventive and try something new - like a basket o' gaskets for the plumber in all of us.  Practical too.

And last, but never least..

Gift Certificates - Always the last resort for the procrastinators among us, this also works for the less-than-creative.  In normal years, you would need to keep this down to a minimum to avoid appearing uncaring and cheap, and totally blowing  your cover as someone who gives a sh!t, but in light of the current economic 'troubles', you can feel free to go wild.  The ultimate?  Gift certificates for gift certificates.  Try it - it might catch on...

Time For Dessert

A couple of days ago, late at night, I surprised a junior member of our household eating a container of vanilla-flavored, low-fat yogurt.  I was unhappy and I told him so.

It wasn't that he was eating something so late at night that set me off, and it certainly wasn't that it was low-fat yogurt.  

The problem was he was eating MY yogurt, and it was late at night.

He sussed the gravity of the situation rather quickly and said:  

"I was just having my dessert."

For some reason that explanation satisfied me, even though it was, again, MY yogurt he was having as dessert.  After all, we did have dinner earlier that evening and there was no dessert provided at the time.  Perhaps my guilt at that oversight prevailed, but for whatever reason I let it go.

Only later, after he'd gone off, gastronomically fulfilled, to bed, did the significance of his argument strike me.  Dessert?  Four hours after dinner concluded?  Is that possible?

Well, what is dessert anyway?  Wikipedia describes it as 'a course that typically comes at the end of a meal, usually consisting of sweet food...'  Doesn't say a thing about how much time should elapse between the main course and the dessert.  And even if close proximity in time is implied who's to say you can't save up your dessert and have it later?

So, this yogurt-snatching teenager had flummoxed me with his quick thinking...

Until..., that is, I realized it wasn't just late at night that he was having his 'dessert', it was, in point of fact, 12:05 am - an entirely different day!

One might plausibly argue dessert could come after a meal at any time during the same day, but no one can argue it can come the next day.   

After midnight it is just a snack...

Hey, Joe!

Joe Lieberman, the chameleonic Senate Democrat come Independocrat come McCain supporter, is on the hot seat now.

Head Demos in the Senate feel free to punish and exile him for his support of John McCain, even though he mostly votes with them and is part of their caucus, no matter what he calls himself.   Given their new plurality in Congress, the Demos don't need Lieberman to make a majority, so it seems it's heave-ho Joe!

But... 

He was the vice-presidential candidate with John Kerry in 2000.  Should we really toss Joe out like spoiled gazpacho?

Is Joe Lieberman a closet Republican, or a misguided Liberal?   If I had to guess, I'd choose the latter.

Checking my near-photographic (not) memory, it seems to me that Lieberman is a pretty darn liberal fellow, voting with Democrats on social and economic issues.

However, he committed the unpardonable sin of supporting George Bush in his ill-advised war on Iraq.  And then he compounded that sin by supporting John McCain for President.

His reasons for doing both were clearly rooted in his steadfast support of Israel and conviction that Bush's War helped protect that nation.  He clearly believed John McCain would do a better job finishing what Bush started than would Obama.

I understand and can sympathize.  Joe Lieberman is a man who votes  his conscience, no matter what the consequences.

Well, he's voted, and now come the consequences.   Harry Reid will have him gone in a New York minute...

So long, Joe ... we hardly knew ya

Three Amigos on the Road to Ruin

GM, Ford, and Chrysler. 

The 'Three Amigos' of American corporate ineptness.

They are failing (GM is very close to gone), so what are their options?

1. We bail them out (they'd prefer that)

2. They merge (goodbye Big Three, hello Big Two, or even Big One)

3. They get bought out by other (probably foreign) investors.

4. We let them fail if that's what happens (they definitely don't want that)

From a strictly how-dumb-can-they-be-let's-teach-them-a-lesson vindictive point of view, I'd say option #4, especially for giant GM (the bigger they are ... etc.)

Based on what's best for the country, however, I'd say throw them into the market and see what can be arranged using options 2 & 3. 

If all else fails, throw the chumps a lifeline.  

But they'd better be grateful if we do ... I'd expect to see by way of thanks:

- Inexpensive, high-mpg, safe cars

- Alternative fuel vehicles

- Zero emissions vehicles

Oh, and lest we forget...

- Provide Health and Retirement Plans for their workers

- Pay us back (what, you thought it was a GIFT?)

Add to those good things a few, higher-end performance and luxury vehicles to keep the well-heeled happy, and that should be a good job well done... 

No Rest Before The Test

The last Democratic President, Bill Clinton, didn't announce his staff until shortly before his inauguration.   

President-Elect Obama announced his chief of staff only days after his election win.  He is building his team as fast as possible.  

And he needs to.  Today he'll be making a public announcement on the economy.  He's already spoken with world leaders on the crisis.

With a leadership vacuum in the Bush administration the size of a stellar nebula, Obama has been pressed to, in essence, govern before even taking office.

Has there ever been a lamer duck than George Bush?  Has there ever been a President-Elect given less time to rest before the test of office?

Team Building 101

And Barack Obama thought winning the election was tough.

Now he's got to choose the people who will largely run the country for the next four years, and his picks have to be good.

What qualities should Obama be looking for?  Let's make a short list:

• Loyalty.  I know this may sound extreme, but team members need to stand behind their leader. No petty politics or survivor-like behavior allowed.  Differences of opinion should be expected and open discussion encouraged, but once the President makes his decision, everyone needs to close ranks behind him.  If as a team member, you can't abide by a decision, then resign and write a book about it.

• Enthusiasm.  Leading a country is a hard job.  Long hours, little sleep, and lots of second guessing of every move you make.  And that's just the President.  His team will need to work even harder, to stay ahead of the curve and keep their boss well informed.  At times, they will just want to give up, quit and write a book.  Enthusiasm will keep them going, and they will need lots of it, along with plenty of coffee and sugary snacks.

•  Intelligence.  Members of the President's team should be among the best and brightest in government.  Not asking too much, you might think, but the President has to be realistic.  The very smartest people in our society won't take the job.  The smartest 'in government' will, and that's the best we can hope for. 

• Persistence.  One of the toughest jobs team members will face is dealing with congress and their not-so-silent partners, the lobbyists.  Just when you think you have an 'understanding', some lobbyist will mess things up and you will be back to square one.  Persistence - the fine art of getting up, dusting off, and trying again, is essential.

And

• Steadiness.  Team members will face at least four years (unless they quit and write that book) of relentless stress, often extreme.  Ordinary folk might crack like cheap vinyl and fail their President at the moment he needs them the most.  So the last, but not least, of qualities to consider is the emotional steadiness to weather the intense ups and downs of the job.  
  

So there you have it.  The short list of qualities that should be requirements when Barack Obama forms his team.  Of course, he should give some consideration to experience, but as we all know by now, that's not essential...

Class on Display

In the aftermath of the historic victory of President-Elect Barrack Obama, we were treated to two impressive displays of class:

Senator John McCain gave perhaps the most inspiring speech of his campaign, indeed his career, in his gracious and humble concession to Obama's victory.  During the speech, he skillfully quelled a few ugly outbursts amongst his followers, and, by the end, had brought them around to looking forward in a hopeful, if poignant, way.  Class.

President-Elect Barrack Obama accepted his victory with an eloquent speech that beautifully summed up the hopes of his supporters while acknowledging the fears of his opponents.  His gracious and positive treatment of his former opponent went a long way towards bridging the gap between jubilant Democrats and demoralized Republicans.  Class.

Both men deserved our praise last evening. Their moves to immediately heal the wounds of a painful campaign gave great hope about our future to the citizens of the United States and our friends around the world. Class.

Fateful Day

Very first thing I heard on the morning radio news: a commentator noted that today's election will be historic, no matter which party wins.  

On the Republican side, you can elect the oldest man ever to a first term.  And the first woman to be elected Vice President.

Triumphant Democrats will place the first African-American in office as President. 

Every registered voter can participate in making history.  So get out there and make a difference.

I can't bear to look

It's mid-day on Monday November 3rd, and I've decided to stop looking at the polls.

They are just making me paranoid.

Obama still has a healthy lead, but McCain is inexplicably chipping away at it in the 'battleground' states.

It could be due to exhaustive campaigning on McCain's part (he IS tough, isn't he?)  

It could be due to exhaustion amongst Obama's crew (they've been working VERY hard.)

I hope it's one or both of those reasons, because I'd hate to think that racism has anything to do with it.

Like I said, paranoid...

So no more polls.  I know who I am voting for,  but I will need all the time I can get before tomorrow to wade through all the propositions ...

The Entropy of Black Holes

According to a science program I saw on TV, the universe will expand forever, resulting eventually (100 trillion years, or thereabouts) in a cold, dark, lifeless, universe of decomposed matter. 

They say that accelerating expansion due to the repulsive forces of matter together with entropy dictates this end.  As galaxies move further and further apart, there will be less concentrated heat and light to keep things 'cooking', and as stars burn out fewer will be born as a result of this lowered concentration of heat and light. Entropy will assure that complex forms will degrade into less organized states.

Near the end, they predict a universe filled with black holes, but say they too will degenerate and die.

But here is where they lost me, and I'll share some of the questions and thoughts that came to me while watching:

 If a black hole is a center of gravitation force so powerful that NOTHING can escape, how would entropy work?  Black holes will continue to pull in matter no matter how cold and dark the matter is, and no energy will escape.  So what could lead to black hole death?

Maybe entropy is suspended in black holes.  Perhaps, in the universe the TV show depicts, black holes will be a saving grace.   

As matter in the universe cools to absolute zero, perhaps the repulsive forces will weaken, slowing or reversing expansion.  And maybe the ever growing black holes will provide enough gravitational force to pull matter back together.

Maybe the black holes will coalesce eventually into a single point of gravity, resulting in another big bang?

Or maybe the energy released when matter collapses past the event horizons of countless black holes will heat the matter in the universe, restoring the repulsive forces, resulting in another era of expansion. And so on, in an endless cycle.

Of course, as a non-mathematician, I lack the tools to explore these questions further than simply posing them.  

Black holes and entropy - fun to think about on a cloudy, wet day, fueled by a post-Halloween sugar high.